ENVIRONMENT IN 2030:
By 2030 the demand for mobility products (cars, bicycles, public transport, etc.) will be much higher than in 2018. by the introduction of low-entry try self-driving transport modes and shared modes.
Major cities will introduce zero/low-emission zones, forcing the most polluting vehicles out of the urban areas: electric cars will widely replace combustion ones. The most visionary cities will also ban electric cars from the city centres in order to save space, since bikes need 4x less space for the same throughput as cars, and require 10x less space to park.
In order to improve air quality, all mobility modes producing emissions or any negative effect on healthcare will be prohibited in major cities.
Speedelecs and e-bikes will be the main transport mode in cycling streets and cycle highways.
DREAM FOR 2030
- Cycle highways are the backbone of a broader cycling network
- There are Mobility Hubs (or Park&Bike Hubs) at 2 to 15 Kms from City Center for easily changing mode from car to bike or vice versa, and saving parking space and time in cities.
- There will be zero-emission zones in all cities to avoid air pollution and save parking space.
- The major cities will contain healthy Cycling streets, where the streets are (almost) exclusively used by bike (since research in Denmark showed that bike troughput is 4 times higher than car throughput for the same street width).
- 60% of all people live within 3 kilometers of cycle highways. A relatively dense spider cycle highway backbone network is needed in every city in order to cover all the needs of the growing cycling population.
- 80% of all Cycle Highways reach at least level 3 for the CH Assessment Criteria: speed, road safety and uninterrupted character.
- Taxation system for mobility solutions is SPACE and WEIGHT related.
- Bike Leasing is from a financial point of view 10x as attractive as car leasing
- There will be a completed or nearly completed cycle highway network by 2030 in all major European Cities
- Self-driving bikes will first appear in 2030, and by 2040 they will circulate from Park&Bike HUBs to city centers in order to remain competitive with very comfortable self-driving cars.
Illustration showing the future vision with high coverage of multiple cycle highways (within corridors of 2-3kms) leading to a total coverage of more than 60% of the population.
Illustration showing future mobility HUBs to change from bike to car and taking the (semi-sheltered) cycle highway backbone to the city center.